Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003874 0.004071 0.004274 0.004498 0.004738 0.004988 0.005270
2025-08-03 0.003508 0.003798 0.004109 0.004466 0.004868 0.005307 0.005826
2025-08-10 0.003271 0.003613 0.003987 0.004431 0.004946 0.005529 0.006242
2025-08-17 0.003156 0.003543 0.003977 0.004504 0.005133 0.005866 0.006793
2025-08-24 0.003014 0.003427 0.003901 0.004488 0.005204 0.006058 0.007171
2025-08-31 0.002885 0.003318 0.003821 0.004457 0.005248 0.006214 0.007503
2025-09-07 0.002758 0.003203 0.003727 0.004400 0.005251 0.006311 0.007760
2025-09-14 0.002643 0.003095 0.003636 0.004339 0.005243 0.006389 0.007988
2025-09-21 0.002571 0.003037 0.003601 0.004345 0.005317 0.006573 0.008364
2025-09-28 0.002441 0.002902 0.003464 0.004212 0.005203 0.006501 0.008382
2025-10-05 0.002379 0.002849 0.003428 0.004209 0.005257 0.006653 0.008716
2025-10-12 0.002353 0.002840 0.003446 0.004275 0.005405 0.006936 0.009251
2025-10-19 0.002282 0.002772 0.003387 0.004237 0.005411 0.007025 0.009512
2025-10-26 0.002220 0.002712 0.003338 0.004209 0.005429 0.007131 0.009803
2025-11-02 0.002160 0.002654 0.003286 0.004177 0.005438 0.007223 0.010075
2025-11-09 0.002142 0.002651 0.003308 0.004245 0.005590 0.007528 0.010695
2025-11-16 0.002094 0.002605 0.003271 0.004229 0.005621 0.007654 0.011037
2025-11-23 0.002044 0.002556 0.003227 0.004201 0.005631 0.007748 0.011330
2025-11-30 0.001988 0.002496 0.003167 0.004148 0.005602 0.007779 0.011518
2025-12-07 0.001934 0.002437 0.003107 0.004092 0.005565 0.007796 0.011682
2025-12-14 0.001903 0.002411 0.003089 0.004098 0.005621 0.007959 0.012107
2025-12-21 0.001830 0.002324 0.002987 0.003975 0.005478 0.007799 0.011955
2025-12-28 0.001801 0.002296 0.002966 0.003972 0.005517 0.007934 0.012333